AISportsPlaysAccuracy
No toss-up split yet (NFL has no market-deference mechanism — see scoreNflGame.ts), so every graded pick counts toward one record below.
Season
80 picks
Moneyline48-31-1(60.8%)
Spread (ATS)33-44-3(42.9%)
Total51-29(63.7%)
Last 10 days
15 picks
Moneyline8-6-1(57.1%)
Spread (ATS)5-9-1(35.7%)
Total13-2(86.7%)
Last 5 days
1 picks
Moneyline0-1(0.0%)
Spread (ATS)0-1(0.0%)
Total1-0(100.0%)
Calibration (season) — does a pick's stated confidence match its actual win rate?
Moneyline
| Stated confidence | Sample | Actual win rate |
|---|---|---|
| 50-59% | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 60-69% | 4-4 | 50.0% |
| 70-79% | 41-22 | 65.1% |
| 80-89% | — | no data |
| 90-100% | — | no data |
Spread (ATS)
| Stated confidence | Sample | Actual win rate |
|---|---|---|
| 50-59% | 25-37 | 40.3% |
| 60-69% | 8-7 | 53.3% |
| 70-79% | — | no data |
| 80-89% | — | no data |
| 90-100% | — | no data |
Total
| Stated confidence | Sample | Actual win rate |
|---|---|---|
| 50-59% | 51-29 | 63.7% |
| 60-69% | — | no data |
| 70-79% | — | no data |
| 80-89% | — | no data |
| 90-100% | — | no data |
| Week | Picks | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 REG Wk 6 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1-0 | 1-0-0 |
| 2026 REG Wk 5 | 15 | 9-5 | 6-8-1 | 12-3-0 |
| 2026 REG Wk 4 | 16 | 12-4 | 7-7-2 | 6-10-0 |
| 2026 REG Wk 3 | 16 | 10-6 | 8-8-0 | 12-4-0 |
| 2026 REG Wk 2 | 16 | 9-7 | 8-8-0 | 10-6-0 |
| 2026 REG Wk 1 | 16 | 8-8 | 4-12-0 | 10-6-0 |