AISportsPlaysAccuracy
No toss-up split yet (NBA has no market-deference mechanism — see scoreNbaGame.ts), so every graded pick counts toward one record below.
Season
38 picks
Moneyline19-19(50.0%)
Spread (ATS)1-1(50.0%)
Total2-0(100.0%)
Last 10 days
21 picks
Moneyline11-10(52.4%)
Spread (ATS)0-0
Total0-0
Last 5 days
21 picks
Moneyline11-10(52.4%)
Spread (ATS)0-0
Total0-0
Calibration (season) — does a pick's stated confidence match its actual win rate?
Moneyline
| Stated confidence | Sample | Actual win rate |
|---|---|---|
| 50-59% | 3-4 | 42.9% |
| 60-69% | 3-5 | 37.5% |
| 70-79% | 13-10 | 56.5% |
| 80-89% | — | no data |
| 90-100% | — | no data |
Spread (ATS)
| Stated confidence | Sample | Actual win rate |
|---|---|---|
| 50-59% | 1-1 | 50.0%(small sample) |
| 60-69% | — | no data |
| 70-79% | — | no data |
| 80-89% | — | no data |
| 90-100% | — | no data |
Total
| Stated confidence | Sample | Actual win rate |
|---|---|---|
| 50-59% | 2-0 | 100.0%(small sample) |
| 60-69% | — | no data |
| 70-79% | — | no data |
| 80-89% | — | no data |
| 90-100% | — | no data |
| Date | Picks | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | 12 | 5-7 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| 2026-10-15 | 2 | 2-0 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| 2026-10-14 | 7 | 4-3 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| 2026-10-07 | 5 | 3-2 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| 2026-10-06 | 4 | 1-3 | 1-0-0 | 1-0-0 |
| 2026-10-05 | 5 | 2-3 | 0-1-0 | 1-0-0 |
| 2026-10-04 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| 2026-10-03 | 1 | 1-0 | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |