Picks

2026-09-29 · back to today

• PHI @ ATL(3-5)▼ Highlights & props

  2:00:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  PHI (50%)LowLean✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: PHI +166 / ATL -166 (9 books)

  Run Line

  PHI (65%)Medium✗ LOSS

  Line: ATL -1.5

  Total Runs

  UNDER 6.1 (55%)Low✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 6.5 (O -109 / U +109)

• CWS @ HOU(6-3)▼ Highlights & props

  5:00:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  HOU (58%)LowToss-Up✗ LOSS

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: CWS +112 / HOU -112 (9 books)

  Run Line

  CWS (65%)Medium✓ WIN

  Line: HOU -1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 9.1 (65%)Medium✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.0 (O -108 / U +108)

• BOS @ NYY(0-9)▼ Highlights & props

  8:00:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  NYY (55%)LowToss-Up✓ WIN

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: BOS +120 / NYY -120 (9 books)

  Run Line

  NYY (65%)Medium✓ WIN

  Line: NYY -1.5

  Total Runs

  UNDER 5.8 (53%)Low✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 6.0 (O -103 / U +103)

• CHC @ SD(0-8)▼ Highlights & props

  10:00:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  SD (53%)LowToss-Up✓ WIN

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: CHC +116 / SD -116 (9 books)

  Run Line

  SD (65%)Medium✓ WIN

  Line: SD -1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 7.5 (58%)Low✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 7.5 (O +107 / U -107)