Picks
2026-09-27 · back to today
- MoneylineNYM (58%)LowToss-Up✗ LOSSThe market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.Vegas: NYM -101 / WSH +101 (9 books)Run LineNYM (54%)Low✗ LOSSLine: WSH +1.5Total RunsOVER 9.3 (72%)High✓ WINVegas: O/U 8.0 (O -104 / U +104)
- MoneylineBAL (62%)MediumLeanThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: BAL +122 / NYY -122 (9 books)Run LineBAL (85%)HighLine: NYY -1.5Total RunsOVER 8.3 (63%)MediumVegas: O/U 7.5 (O +102 / U -102)
- MoneylineBOS (56%)LowToss-Up✗ LOSSThe market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.Vegas: CHC -114 / BOS +114 (6 books)Run LineBOS (82%)High✗ LOSSLine: BOS +1.5Total RunsUNDER 6.7 (63%)Medium✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 7.5 (O -101 / U +101)
- MoneylineTB (67%)MediumUnderdog Watch · 42% (27-38)✗ LOSSThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: TB +145 / PHI -145 (9 books)Run LineTB (85%)High✗ LOSSLine: PHI -1.5Total RunsOVER 6.6 (51%)Low✓ WINVegas: O/U 6.5 (O -106 / U +106)
- MoneylineLAD (68%)Medium🔥 Confident · 79% (49-13)✓ WINThe betting markets have a real, strong lean on this game (68% implied) — this pick sides with their favorite, our best-validated signal for this bet type.Vegas: LAD -214 / SF +214 (6 books)Run LineSF (52%)Low✗ LOSSLine: SF +1.5Total RunsUNDER 7.3 (61%)Medium✓ WINVegas: O/U 8.0 (O -100 / U -100)
- MoneylineHOU (67%)MediumLean✓ WINThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: HOU -165 / ATH +165 (9 books)Run LineHOU (74%)High✓ WINLine: ATH +1.5Total RunsOVER 11.0 (66%)Medium✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 10.0 (O +104 / U -104)
- MoneylineCIN (69%)MediumLean✗ LOSSThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: CIN +160 / TOR -160 (9 books)Run LineCIN (85%)High✗ LOSSLine: TOR -1.5Total RunsUNDER 8.2 (55%)Low✓ WINVegas: O/U 8.5 (O -109 / U +109)
- MoneylineATL (58%)LowToss-Up✗ LOSSThe market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.Vegas: ATL -101 / MIA +101 (9 books)Run LineMIA (63%)Medium✓ WINLine: MIA +1.5Total RunsOVER 8.6 (51%)Low✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 8.5 (O +108 / U -108)
- MoneylinePIT (55%)LowToss-Up✓ WINThe market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.Vegas: PIT -122 / DET +122 (9 books)Run LineDET (85%)High✗ LOSSLine: DET +1.5Total RunsOVER 7.9 (57%)Low✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 7.5 (O -106 / U +106)
- MoneylineCLE (58%)LowToss-Up✗ LOSSThe market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.Vegas: CLE -121 / KC +121 (9 books)Run LineCLE (85%)High✗ LOSSLine: KC +1.5Total RunsOVER 9.4 (64%)Medium✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 8.5 (O +104 / U -104)
- MoneylineAZ (65%)MediumLean✗ LOSSThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: AZ -129 / SD +129 (9 books)Run LineSD (85%)High✓ WINLine: SD +1.5Total RunsOVER 9.0 (66%)Medium✓ WINVegas: O/U 8.0 (O +104 / U -104)
- MoneylineMIN (58%)LowToss-Up✓ WINThe market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.Vegas: TEX -115 / MIN +115 (9 books)Run LineMIN (85%)High✓ WINLine: MIN +1.5Total RunsOVER 8.3 (55%)Low✓ WINVegas: O/U 8.0 (O -105 / U +105)
- MoneylineSEA (59%)LowLean✓ WINThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: LAA +161 / SEA -161 (9 books)Run LineLAA (85%)High✗ LOSSLine: SEA -1.5Total RunsOVER 8.1 (67%)Medium✓ WINVegas: O/U 7.0 (O +104 / U -104)
- MoneylineMIL (68%)Medium🔥🔥 Confident · 79% (49-13)✓ WINThe betting markets have a real, strong lean on this game (68% implied) — this pick sides with their favorite, our best-validated signal for this bet type.Vegas: STL +214 / MIL -214 (9 books)Run LineMIL (85%)High✓ WINLine: MIL -1.5Total RunsOVER 7.2 (53%)Low✓ WINVegas: O/U 7.0 (O +109 / U -109)
- MoneylineCWS (68%)MediumLean✓ WINThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: COL +182 / CWS -182 (9 books)Run LineCOL (65%)Medium✗ LOSSLine: CWS -1.5Total RunsOVER 9.9 (72%)High✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 8.5 (O +104 / U -104)