Picks
2026-09-25 · back to today
- MoneylineBOS (80%)HighEarly Read✓ WINGenerated before betting odds were available for this game — the model's own independent read, not yet checked against the market.Run Linen/aTotal RunsUNDER 4.5 (68%)Medium✓ WIN
- MoneylineNYY (65%)MediumEarly Read✗ LOSSGenerated before betting odds were available for this game — the model's own independent read, not yet checked against the market.Run Linen/aTotal RunsOVER 9.8 (59%)Low✓ WIN
- MoneylineBAL (56%)LowUnderdog Watch · 42% (27-38)✗ LOSSThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: BAL +104 / NYY -104 (7 books)Run LineBAL (85%)High✗ LOSSLine: NYY -1.5Total RunsOVER 7.3 (64%)Medium✓ WINVegas: O/U 6.5 (O -110 / U +110)
- MoneylineCHC (56%)LowToss-Up✗ LOSSThe market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.Vegas: CHC -107 / BOS +107 (9 books)Run LineBOS (50%)Low✓ WINLine: BOS +1.5Total RunsUNDER 6.1 (57%)Low✓ WINVegas: O/U 6.5 (O -103 / U +103)
- MoneylinePIT (54%)LowToss-Up✗ LOSSThe market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.Vegas: PIT +107 / DET -107 (9 books)Run LineDET (85%)High✓ WINLine: DET +1.5Total RunsUNDER 7.5 (59%)Low✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 8.0 (O +105 / U -105)
- MoneylineTB (65%)MediumLean✓ WINThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: TB +159 / PHI -159 (9 books)Run LineTB (85%)High✓ WINLine: PHI -1.5Total RunsOVER 6.8 (55%)Low✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 6.5 (O -104 / U +104)
- MoneylineWSH (58%)Low🐶 Underdog Watch · 42% (27-38)✓ WINThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: NYM -100 / WSH -100 (7 books)Run LineWSH (85%)High✓ WINLine: WSH +1.5Total RunsUNDER 7.6 (57%)Low✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 8.0 (O -100 / U -100)
- MoneylineCIN (64%)MediumUnderdog Watch · 42% (27-38)✗ LOSSThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: CIN +139 / TOR -139 (9 books)Run LineCIN (80%)High✓ WINLine: TOR -1.5Total RunsOVER 7.6 (51%)Low✓ WINVegas: O/U 7.5 (O -104 / U +104)
- MoneylineMIA (55%)LowToss-Up✓ WINThe market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.Vegas: ATL -107 / MIA +107 (9 books)Run LineATL (82%)High✗ LOSSLine: MIA +1.5Total RunsOVER 8.1 (51%)Low✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 8.0 (O -100 / U -100)
- MoneylineCWS (67%)Medium🔥 Confident · 79% (49-13)✓ WINThe betting markets have a real, strong lean on this game (67% implied) — this pick sides with their favorite, our best-validated signal for this bet type.Vegas: COL +209 / CWS -209 (9 books)Run LineCWS (85%)High✓ WINLine: CWS -1.5Total RunsOVER 9.3 (70%)Medium✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 8.0 (O -107 / U +107)
- MoneylineMIL (63%)MediumLean✓ WINThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: STL +168 / MIL -168 (9 books)Run LineMIL (85%)High✓ WINLine: MIL -1.5Total RunsUNDER 7.7 (54%)Low✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 8.0 (O +103 / U -103)
- MoneylineCLE (66%)MediumLean✓ WINThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: CLE -129 / KC +129 (9 books)Run LineKC (85%)High✗ LOSSLine: KC +1.5Total RunsUNDER 6.6 (57%)Low✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 7.0 (O -104 / U +104)
- MoneylineMIN (57%)LowToss-Up✓ WINThe market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.Vegas: TEX -107 / MIN +107 (9 books)Run LineMIN (51%)Low✓ WINLine: MIN +1.5Total RunsOVER 7.0 (51%)Low✓ WINVegas: O/U 7.0 (O -105 / U +105)
- MoneylineSD (53%)LowLean✗ LOSSThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: AZ +122 / SD -122 (9 books)Run LineAZ (73%)High✓ WINLine: SD -1.5Total RunsOVER 7.9 (57%)Low✓ WINVegas: O/U 7.5 (O -104 / U +104)
- MoneylineHOU (69%)MediumLean✗ LOSSThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: HOU -163 / ATH +163 (9 books)Run LineHOU (68%)Medium✗ LOSSLine: ATH +1.5Total RunsOVER 9.1 (51%)Low✓ WINVegas: O/U 9.0 (O -100 / U -100)
- MoneylineSEA (53%)LowToss-Up✗ LOSSThe market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.Vegas: LAA +110 / SEA -110 (9 books)Run LineLAA (85%)High✓ WINLine: SEA -1.5Total RunsOVER 7.0 (59%)Low✓ WINVegas: O/U 6.5 (O -109 / U +109)
- MoneylineLAD (74%)High🔥🔥 Confident · 79% (49-13)✓ WINThe betting markets have a real, strong lean on this game (74% implied) — this pick sides with their favorite, our best-validated signal for this bet type.Vegas: LAD -277 / SF +277 (9 books)Run LineLAD (67%)Medium✓ WINLine: SF +1.5Total RunsUNDER 7.2 (55%)Low✓ WINVegas: O/U 7.5 (O +105 / U -105)