Picks
2026-09-23 · back to today
- MoneylineWSH (69%)MediumLean✓ WINThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: WSH +160 / DET -160 (9 books)Run LineDET (69%)Medium✗ LOSSLine: DET -1.5Total RunsUNDER 8.0 (51%)Low✓ WINVegas: O/U 8.0 (O +102 / U -102)
- MoneylineBAL (52%)LowToss-Up✓ WINThe market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.Vegas: TOR +111 / BAL -111 (9 books)Run LineTOR (85%)High✗ LOSSLine: BAL -1.5Total RunsOVER 7.2 (53%)Low✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 7.0 (O -107 / U +107)
- MoneylineMIN (63%)MediumLean✓ WINThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: MIN -133 / SF +133 (9 books)Run LineSF (85%)High✗ LOSSLine: SF +1.5Total RunsUNDER 7.3 (53%)Low✓ WINVegas: O/U 7.5 (O -107 / U +107)
- MoneylineTOR (52%)LowToss-Up✗ LOSSThe market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.Vegas: TOR +112 / BAL -112 (7 books)Run LineTOR (85%)High✗ LOSSLine: BAL -1.5Total RunsUNDER 7.9 (61%)Medium✓ WINVegas: O/U 7.5 (O -104 / U +104)
- MoneylinePIT (57%)LowToss-Up✗ LOSSThe market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.Vegas: STL +127 / PIT -127 (9 books)Run LinePIT (85%)High✗ LOSSLine: PIT +1.5Total RunsUNDER 7.0 (57%)Low✓ WINVegas: O/U 7.5 (O +114 / U -114)
- MoneylinePHI (53%)LowUnderdog Watch · 42% (27-38)✗ LOSSThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: MIL -116 / PHI +116 (9 books)Run LinePHI (68%)Medium✗ LOSSLine: PHI +1.5Total RunsOVER 7.5 (50%)Low✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 7.0 (O -100 / U -100)
- MoneylineTB (68%)MediumUnderdog Watch · 42% (27-38)✗ LOSSThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: TB +123 / NYY -123 (9 books)Run LineTB (85%)High✗ LOSSLine: NYY -1.5Total RunsOVER 7.0 (51%)Low✓ WINVegas: O/U 6.5 (O -101 / U +101)
- MoneylineBOS (51%)LowLean✓ WINThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: CLE +124 / BOS -124 (9 books)Run LineCLE (85%)High✓ WINLine: BOS -1.5Total RunsUNDER 6.6 (56%)Low✓ WINVegas: O/U 6.5 (O -107 / U +107)
- MoneylineATL (70%)Medium🔥×8 Confident · 79% (49-13)✓ WINThe betting markets have a real, strong lean on this game (70% implied) — this pick sides with their favorite, our best-validated signal for this bet type.Vegas: CIN +232 / ATL -232 (9 books)Run LineATL (85%)High✗ LOSSLine: ATL -1.5Total RunsUNDER 7.2 (55%)Low✓ WINVegas: O/U 7.5 (O +111 / U -111)
- MoneylineCHC (61%)MediumLean✗ LOSSThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: MIA +162 / CHC -162 (9 books)Run LineMIA (85%)High✓ WINLine: CHC -1.5Total RunsOVER 7.9 (63%)Medium✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 6.5 (O -109 / U +109)
- MoneylineKC (58%)LowToss-Up✓ WINThe market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.Vegas: CWS -109 / KC +109 (9 books)Run LineCWS (85%)High✗ LOSSLine: KC +1.5Total RunsOVER 11.4 (95%)High✓ WINVegas: O/U 8.5 (O +101 / U -101)
- MoneylineNYM (57%)LowToss-Up✓ WINThe market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.Vegas: NYM -100 / TEX -100 (9 books)Run LineTEX (53%)Low✗ LOSSLine: TEX +1.5Total RunsOVER 8.6 (68%)Medium✓ WINVegas: O/U 8.0 (O -100 / U -100)
- MoneylineAZ (67%)MediumLean✓ WINThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: AZ -144 / COL +144 (9 books)Run LineAZ (72%)High✓ WINLine: COL +1.5Total RunsUNDER 10.6 (57%)Low✓ WINVegas: O/U 11.0 (O -101 / U +101)
- MoneylineATH (51%)LowToss-Up✓ WINThe market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.Vegas: LAA -121 / ATH +121 (9 books)Run LineATH (60%)Low✓ WINLine: ATH +1.5Total RunsUNDER 9.4 (51%)Low✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 9.5 (O +103 / U -103)
- MoneylineHOU (67%)MediumUnderdog Watch · 42% (27-38)✗ LOSSThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: HOU +114 / SEA -114 (9 books)Run LineHOU (85%)High✓ WINLine: SEA -1.5Total RunsUNDER 7.5 (59%)Low✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 7.5 (O -106 / U +106)
- MoneylineLAD (66%)MediumConfident · 79% (49-13)✗ LOSSThe betting markets have a real, strong lean on this game (66% implied) — this pick sides with their favorite, our best-validated signal for this bet type.Vegas: SD +198 / LAD -198 (9 books)Run LineLAD (85%)High✗ LOSSLine: LAD -1.5Total RunsUNDER 8.0 (50%)Low✓ WINVegas: O/U 8.0 (O -104 / U +104)