Picks

2026-09-22 · back to today

• TB @ NYY(0-2)▼ Highlights & props

  1:05:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  TB (58%)LowToss-Up✗ LOSS

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: TB +119 / NYY -119 (9 books)

  Run Line

  TB (71%)High✗ LOSS

  Line: NYY -1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 7.0 (57%)Low✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 6.5 (O +104 / U -104)

• STL @ PIT(0-2)▼ Highlights & props

  6:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  PIT (68%)MediumLean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: STL +154 / PIT -154 (9 books)

  Run Line

  STL (60%)Medium✗ LOSS

  Line: PIT -1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 7.1 (52%)Low✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 7.0 (O -105 / U +105)

• MIL @ PHI(4-6)▼ Highlights & props

  6:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  MIL (54%)LowUnderdog Watch · 42% (27-38)✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: MIL +128 / PHI -128 (9 books)

  Run Line

  MIL (85%)High✗ LOSS

  Line: PHI -1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 7.6 (60%)Low✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 7.0 (O -109 / U +109)

• WSH @ DET(3-1)▼ Highlights & props

  6:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  DET (67%)MediumLean✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: WSH +139 / DET -139 (9 books)

  Run Line

  DET (85%)High✗ LOSS

  Line: DET -1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 9.1 (60%)Low✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.0 (O -108 / U +108)

• CLE @ BOS(3-2)▼ Highlights & props

  6:45:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  CLE (58%)LowToss-Up✓ WIN

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: CLE +116 / BOS -116 (9 books)

  Run Line

  CLE (85%)High✓ WIN

  Line: BOS -1.5

  Total Runs

  UNDER 6.3 (53%)Low✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 6.5 (O +104 / U -104)

• TB @ NYY(6-1)▼ Highlights & props

  7:05:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  TB (65%)MediumEarly Read✓ WIN

  Generated before betting odds were available for this game — the model's own independent read, not yet checked against the market.

  Run Line

  n/a

  Total Runs

  UNDER 6.5 (63%)Medium✓ WIN

• CIN @ ATL(4-0)▼ Highlights & props

  7:15:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  ATL (66%)MediumLean✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: CIN +191 / ATL -191 (9 books)

  Run Line

  ATL (85%)High✗ LOSS

  Line: ATL -1.5

  Total Runs

  UNDER 8.7 (55%)Low✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 9.5 (O +104 / U -104)

• CWS @ KC(14-11)▼ Highlights & props

  7:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  CWS (57%)LowToss-Up✓ WIN

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: CWS -108 / KC +108 (9 books)

  Run Line

  KC (82%)High✗ LOSS

  Line: KC +1.5

  Total Runs

  UNDER 7.9 (52%)Low✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.0 (O +104 / U -104)

• MIA @ CHC(8-2)▼ Highlights & props

  7:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  CHC (69%)MediumLean✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: MIA +182 / CHC -182 (9 books)

  Run Line

  CHC (78%)High✗ LOSS

  Line: CHC -1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 7.7 (70%)High✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 6.5 (O -106 / U +106)

• NYM @ TEX(6-3)▼ Highlights & props

  8:05:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  NYM (58%)LowToss-Up✓ WIN

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: NYM +114 / TEX -114 (9 books)

  Run Line

  NYM (85%)High✓ WIN

  Line: TEX -1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 9.6 (77%)High✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.0 (O +102 / U -102)

• AZ @ COL(7-2)▼ Highlights & props

  8:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  COL (57%)LowLean✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: AZ -175 / COL +175 (9 books)

  Run Line

  COL (67%)Medium✗ LOSS

  Line: COL +1.5

  Total Runs

  UNDER 10.5 (58%)Low✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 11.0 (O +104 / U -104)

• LAA @ ATH(7-9)▼ Highlights & props

  9:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  ATH (58%)LowToss-Up✓ WIN

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: LAA -100 / ATH -100 (9 books)

  Run Line

  ATH (85%)High✓ WIN

  Line: ATH +1.5

  Total Runs

  UNDER 9.0 (58%)Low✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 9.5 (O +107 / U -107)

• HOU @ SEA(7-0)▼ Highlights & props

  9:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  HOU (64%)Medium🐶 Underdog Watch · 42% (27-38)✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: HOU +123 / SEA -123 (9 books)

  Run Line

  HOU (72%)High✓ WIN

  Line: SEA -1.5

  Total Runs

  UNDER 7.2 (55%)Low✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 7.0 (O -109 / U +109)

• MIN @ SF(3-2)▼ Highlights & props

  9:45:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  MIN (57%)LowToss-Up✓ WIN

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: MIN -122 / SF +122 (9 books)

  Run Line

  SF (85%)High✓ WIN

  Line: SF +1.5

  Total Runs

  UNDER 7.0 (58%)Low✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 7.5 (O +106 / U -106)

• SD @ LAD(0-7)▼ Highlights & props

  10:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  SD (56%)LowToss-Up✗ LOSS

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: SD +121 / LAD -121 (9 books)

  Run Line

  SD (85%)High✗ LOSS

  Line: LAD -1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 8.7 (54%)Low✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.5 (O +104 / U -104)