UFC Picks
UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos
Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr.
BantamweightMoneylineRaul Rosas Jr. (67%)Market: Raoni Barcelos 38% / Raul Rosas Jr. 62%Total RoundsUNDER 3.0 (60%)Line: 3.5 roundsLikely MethodDecisionKO/TKO 13% · Sub 21% · Dec 66%MarketModel vs MarketMarket implies 38.1% win probability for Raoni Barcelos (6 books).FormRecent FormRaoni Barcelos recent form -0.27 relative to Raul Rosas Jr..LayoffRaoni Barcelos last fought 322 days ago vs. Raul Rosas Jr.'s 546 days.Opponent Quality FacedRaoni Barcelos's recent opponents won 54% of their own fights vs. Raul Rosas Jr.'s opponents at 28%.Fight StyleFinish RateRaoni Barcelos finishes 20% of wins vs. Raul Rosas Jr.'s 50%.PhysicalAgeRaoni Barcelos is 39 vs. Raul Rosas Jr.'s 22.Robert Bryczek vs. Rodolfo Vieira
MiddleweightMoneylineRobert Bryczek (56%)Market: Robert Bryczek 45% / Rodolfo Vieira 55%Total RoundsOVER 2.1 (60%)Line: 1.5 roundsLikely MethodDecisionKO/TKO 33% · Sub 17% · Dec 50%MarketModel vs MarketMarket implies 45.3% win probability for Robert Bryczek (6 books).FormWin/Loss StreakRobert Bryczek is on a 1-fight win streak vs. Rodolfo Vieira's 1-fight loss streak.Recent FormRobert Bryczek recent form -0.17 relative to Rodolfo Vieira.Opponent Quality FacedRobert Bryczek's recent opponents won 27% of their own fights vs. Rodolfo Vieira's opponents at 53%.Fight StyleFinish RateRobert Bryczek finishes 100% of wins vs. Rodolfo Vieira's 67%.PhysicalReach AdvantageRobert Bryczek +2.0" reach vs. Rodolfo Vieira (75" vs. 73").Ilimbek Akylbek Uulu vs. Mehemmedeli Osmanli
BantamweightMoneylineIlimbek Akylbek Uulu (50%)Likely MethodKO/TKOKO/TKO 33% · Sub 33% · Dec 33%FormRecent FormIlimbek Akylbek Uulu recent form +0.00 relative to Mehemmedeli Osmanli.Valesca Machado vs. Melissa Amaya
W StrawweightMoneylineValesca Machado (56%)Market: Valesca Machado 64% / Melissa Amaya 36%Total RoundsOVER 2.8 (58%)Line: 2.5 roundsLikely MethodKO/TKOKO/TKO 33% · Sub 33% · Dec 33%MarketModel vs MarketMarket implies 64.0% win probability for Valesca Machado (4 books).FormRecent FormValesca Machado recent form +0.00 relative to Melissa Amaya.PhysicalReach AdvantageValesca Machado -1.0" reach vs. Melissa Amaya (63" vs. 64").Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura
BantamweightMoneylineRinya Nakamura (51%)Market: Brady Hiestand 27% / Rinya Nakamura 73%Likely MethodDecisionKO/TKO 37% · Sub 17% · Dec 47%MarketModel vs MarketMarket implies 26.7% win probability for Brady Hiestand (5 books).FormRecent FormBrady Hiestand recent form +0.42 relative to Rinya Nakamura.LayoffBrady Hiestand last fought 833 days ago vs. Rinya Nakamura's 420 days.Win/Loss StreakBrady Hiestand is on a 3-fight win streak vs. Rinya Nakamura's 1-fight win streak.Opponent Quality FacedBrady Hiestand's recent opponents won 13% of their own fights vs. Rinya Nakamura's opponents at 32%.PhysicalReach AdvantageBrady Hiestand +2.5" reach vs. Rinya Nakamura (71" vs. 68.5").Christian Edwards vs. Rodolfo Bellato
Light HeavyweightMoneylineChristian Edwards (65%)Market: Christian Edwards 39% / Rodolfo Bellato 61%Total RoundsOVER 2.0 (60%)Line: 1.5 roundsLikely MethodKO/TKOKO/TKO 50% · Sub 20% · Dec 30%MarketModel vs MarketMarket implies 38.9% win probability for Christian Edwards (6 books).FormRecent FormChristian Edwards recent form +0.65 relative to Rodolfo Bellato.Win/Loss StreakChristian Edwards is on a 0-fight win streak vs. Rodolfo Bellato's 3-fight loss streak.Fight StyleFinish RateChristian Edwards finishes 0% of wins vs. Rodolfo Bellato's 100%.PhysicalReach AdvantageChristian Edwards +3.5" reach vs. Rodolfo Bellato (78.5" vs. 75").Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell
LightweightMoneylineJosiah Harrell (58%)Likely MethodKO/TKOKO/TKO 42% · Sub 17% · Dec 42%FormWin/Loss StreakElves Brener is on a 3-fight loss streak vs. Josiah Harrell's 0-fight win streak.Recent FormElves Brener recent form -0.31 relative to Josiah Harrell.LayoffElves Brener last fought 420 days ago vs. Josiah Harrell's ? days.Fight StyleFinish RateElves Brener finishes 67% of wins vs. Josiah Harrell's 0%.PhysicalReach AdvantageElves Brener +4.5" reach vs. Josiah Harrell (72.5" vs. 68").Ricky Simon vs. Montel Jackson
BantamweightMoneylineMontel Jackson (71%)Market: Ricky Simon 36% / Montel Jackson 64%Total RoundsOVER 2.5 (50%)Line: 2.5 roundsLikely MethodDecisionKO/TKO 34% · Sub 7% · Dec 59%MarketModel vs MarketMarket implies 36.2% win probability for Ricky Simon (6 books).FormRecent FormRicky Simon recent form -0.45 relative to Montel Jackson.Opponent Quality FacedRicky Simon's recent opponents won 65% of their own fights vs. Montel Jackson's opponents at 51%.Fight StyleFinish RateRicky Simon finishes 67% of wins vs. Montel Jackson's 50%.PhysicalReach AdvantageRicky Simon -6.5" reach vs. Montel Jackson (69" vs. 75.5").AgeRicky Simon is 34 vs. Montel Jackson's 34.Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez
W BantamweightMoneylineNorma Dumont (51%)Market: Norma Dumont 46% / Ailin Perez 54%Total RoundsOVER 2.6 (54%)Line: 2.5 roundsLikely MethodDecisionKO/TKO 0% · Sub 17% · Dec 83%MarketModel vs MarketMarket implies 45.7% win probability for Norma Dumont (6 books).FormLayoffNorma Dumont last fought 329 days ago vs. Ailin Perez's 616 days.Recent FormNorma Dumont recent form +0.10 relative to Ailin Perez.Fight StyleFinish RateNorma Dumont finishes 0% of wins vs. Ailin Perez's 20%.PhysicalAgeNorma Dumont is 36 vs. Ailin Perez's 32.Reach AdvantageNorma Dumont +1.0" reach vs. Ailin Perez (67" vs. 66").Alatengheili vs. John Castaneda
BantamweightMoneylineAlatengheili (51%)Likely MethodDecisionKO/TKO 18% · Sub 8% · Dec 73%FormRecent FormAlatengheili recent form +0.27 relative to John Castaneda.Win/Loss StreakAlatengheili is on a 1-fight loss streak vs. John Castaneda's 2-fight loss streak.Opponent Quality FacedAlatengheili's recent opponents won 36% of their own fights vs. John Castaneda's opponents at 64%.Fight StyleFinish RateAlatengheili finishes 33% of wins vs. John Castaneda's 33%.PhysicalReach AdvantageAlatengheili -5.0" reach vs. John Castaneda (66" vs. 71").AgeAlatengheili is 35 vs. John Castaneda's 35.Vanessa Demopoulos vs. Yazmin Jauregui
W StrawweightMoneylineYazmin Jauregui (75%)Market: Vanessa Demopoulos 14% / Yazmin Jauregui 86%Total RoundsUNDER 2.4 (54%)Line: 2.5 roundsLikely MethodDecisionKO/TKO 20% · Sub 21% · Dec 59%MarketModel vs MarketMarket implies 14.2% win probability for Vanessa Demopoulos (5 books).FormRecent FormVanessa Demopoulos recent form -0.52 relative to Yazmin Jauregui.Win/Loss StreakVanessa Demopoulos is on a 3-fight loss streak vs. Yazmin Jauregui's 1-fight loss streak.LayoffVanessa Demopoulos last fought 469 days ago vs. Yazmin Jauregui's 742 days.PhysicalAgeVanessa Demopoulos is 38 vs. Yazmin Jauregui's 28.Reach AdvantageVanessa Demopoulos -5.0" reach vs. Yazmin Jauregui (59" vs. 64").