Picks

2026-09-19 · back to today

• DET @ CWS(1-3)▼ Highlights & props

  2:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  DET (58%)Toss-Up✗ LOSS

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: DET +116 / CWS -116 (9 books)

  Run Line

  DET (85%)✗ LOSS

  Line: CWS -1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 9.7 (77%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.0 (O +104 / U -104)

• MIL @ BAL(1-0)▼ Highlights & props

  4:05:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  BAL (50%)Toss-Up✗ LOSS

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: MIL +101 / BAL -101 (9 books)

  Run Line

  BAL (51%)✓ WIN

  Line: BAL +1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 8.7 (71%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 7.5 (O -100 / U -100)

• PHI @ NYM(3-10)▼ Highlights & props

  4:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  NYM (53%)Toss-Up✓ WIN

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: PHI +114 / NYM -114 (9 books)

  Run Line

  PHI (85%)✗ LOSS

  Line: NYM -1.5

  Total Runs

  UNDER 7.8 (54%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.0 (O -100 / U -100)

• BOS @ TB(1-2)▼ Highlights & props

  4:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  TB (66%)Lean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: BOS +135 / TB -135 (9 books)

  Run Line

  TB (85%)✗ LOSS

  Line: TB -1.5

  Total Runs

  UNDER 7.2 (55%)✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 7.5 (O +105 / U -105)

• ATH @ CLE(6-12)▼ Highlights & props

  6:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  CLE (68%)Lean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: ATH +166 / CLE -166 (9 books)

  Run Line

  CLE (66%)✓ WIN

  Line: CLE -1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 7.8 (55%)✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 7.5 (O -104 / U +104)

• KC @ PIT(5-6)▼ Highlights & props

  6:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  PIT (57%)Toss-Up✓ WIN

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: KC +108 / PIT -108 (9 books)

  Run Line

  KC (85%)✓ WIN

  Line: PIT -1.5

  Total Runs

  UNDER 7.7 (55%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.0 (O +106 / U -106)

• CHC @ CIN(5-2)▼ Highlights & props

  6:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  CHC (58%)Lean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: CHC -131 / CIN +131 (9 books)

  Run Line

  CHC (85%)✓ WIN

  Line: CIN +1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 10.1 (69%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 9.0 (O -104 / U +104)

• TOR @ TEX(2-6)▼ Highlights & props

  7:05:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  TEX (58%)Toss-Up✓ WIN

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: TOR +104 / TEX -104 (9 books)

  Run Line

  TEX (85%)✓ WIN

  Line: TEX +1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 7.6 (52%)✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 7.5 (O -104 / U +104)

• ATL @ HOU(6-3)▼ Highlights & props

  7:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  ATL (65%)🐶🐶🐶🐶 Underdog Watch · 43% (22-29)✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: ATL +126 / HOU -126 (9 books)

  Run Line

  ATL (85%)✓ WIN

  Line: HOU -1.5

  Total Runs

  UNDER 8.3 (54%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.5 (O -109 / U +109)

• WSH @ STL(8-5)▼ Highlights & props

  7:15:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  WSH (54%)Toss-Up✓ WIN

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: WSH +102 / STL -102 (9 books)

  Run Line

  WSH (77%)✓ WIN

  Line: STL +1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 8.8 (55%)✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.5 (O -108 / U +108)

• NYY @ AZ(3-5)▼ Highlights & props

  8:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  NYY (68%)Lean✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: NYY -148 / AZ +148 (9 books)

  Run Line

  NYY (85%)✗ LOSS

  Line: AZ +1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 7.9 (55%)✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 7.5 (O +111 / U -111)

• SEA @ COL(3-5)▼ Highlights & props

  8:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  SEA (69%)Lean✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: SEA -133 / COL +133 (9 books)

  Run Line

  COL (61%)✓ WIN

  Line: COL +1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 12.3 (69%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 10.5 (O -108 / U +108)

• MIA @ SD(6-7)▼ Highlights & props

  8:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  SD (69%)Lean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: MIA +142 / SD -142 (9 books)

  Run Line

  SD (85%)✗ LOSS

  Line: SD -1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 8.7 (69%)✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 7.5 (O +103 / U -103)

• SF @ LAD(4-10)▼ Highlights & props

  9:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  LAD (77%)🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 Confident · 82% (42-9)✓ WIN

  The betting markets have a real, strong lean on this game (77% implied) — this pick sides with their favorite, our best-validated signal for this bet type.

  Vegas: SF +343 / LAD -343 (9 books)

  Run Line

  LAD (85%)✓ WIN

  Line: LAD -1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 8.2 (61%)✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 7.5 (O +105 / U -105)

• MIN @ LAA(5-6)▼ Highlights & props

  9:38:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  LAA (54%)Toss-Up✓ WIN

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: MIN +114 / LAA -114 (9 books)

  Run Line

  LAA (85%)✓ WIN

  Line: LAA +1.5

  Total Runs

  UNDER 7.1 (57%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 7.5 (O +114 / U -114)