Picks

2026-09-18 · back to today

• CHC @ CIN(4-6)▼ Highlights & props

  6:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  CIN (60%)🐶🐶🐶 Underdog Watch · 43% (22-29)✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: CHC -131 / CIN +131 (8 books)

  Run Line

  CHC (85%)✗ LOSS

  Line: CIN +1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 9.1 (60%)✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.5 (O -104 / U +104)

• KC @ PIT(5-8)▼ Highlights & props

  6:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  PIT (64%)Lean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: KC +170 / PIT -170 (8 books)

  Run Line

  KC (74%)✗ LOSS

  Line: PIT -1.5

  Total Runs

  UNDER 8.1 (56%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.5 (O -100 / U -100)

• MIL @ BAL(6-5)▼ Highlights & props

  7:05:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  MIL (58%)Lean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: MIL -135 / BAL +135 (8 books)

  Run Line

  BAL (61%)✓ WIN

  Line: BAL +1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 10.0 (73%)✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.5 (O +104 / U -104)

• BOS @ TB(4-2)▼ Highlights & props

  7:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  TB (67%)Lean✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: BOS +128 / TB -128 (8 books)

  Run Line

  TB (81%)✗ LOSS

  Line: TB -1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 7.5 (59%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 7.0 (O -100 / U -100)

• ATH @ CLE(3-5)▼ Highlights & props

  7:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  CLE (67%)🔥🔥 Confident · 82% (42-9)✓ WIN

  The betting markets have a real, strong lean on this game (67% implied) — this pick sides with their favorite, our best-validated signal for this bet type.

  Vegas: ATH +201 / CLE -201 (8 books)

  Run Line

  CLE (85%)✓ WIN

  Line: CLE -1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 9.0 (59%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.0 (O -103 / U +103)

• PHI @ NYM(3-6)▼ Highlights & props

  7:15:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  PHI (58%)Toss-Up✗ LOSS

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: PHI +104 / NYM -104 (8 books)

  Run Line

  NYM (82%)✓ WIN

  Line: NYM +1.5

  Total Runs

  UNDER 7.8 (60%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.5 (O -104 / U +104)

• DET @ CWS(11-8)▼ Highlights & props

  7:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  DET (58%)Toss-Up✓ WIN

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: DET +119 / CWS -119 (8 books)

  Run Line

  DET (85%)✓ WIN

  Line: CWS -1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 8.5 (51%)✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.5 (O -102 / U +102)

• TOR @ TEX(1-7)▼ Highlights & props

  8:05:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  TOR (54%)Lean✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: TOR -126 / TEX +126 (8 books)

  Run Line

  TEX (54%)✓ WIN

  Line: TEX +1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 7.9 (56%)✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 7.5 (O +105 / U -105)

• SEA @ COL(5-4)▼ Highlights & props

  8:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  SEA (69%)Lean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: SEA -168 / COL +168 (8 books)

  Run Line

  SEA (85%)✗ LOSS

  Line: COL +1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 10.8 (55%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 10.5 (O -104 / U +104)

• ATL @ HOU(6-2)▼ Highlights & props

  8:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  ATL (55%)Toss-Up✓ WIN

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: ATL -109 / HOU +109 (8 books)

  Run Line

  ATL (82%)✓ WIN

  Line: HOU +1.5

  Total Runs

  UNDER 8.3 (53%)✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.3 (O +105 / U -105)

• WSH @ STL(9-1)▼ Highlights & props

  8:15:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  WSH (58%)Toss-Up✓ WIN

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: WSH -104 / STL +104 (8 books)

  Run Line

  STL (78%)✗ LOSS

  Line: STL +1.5

  Total Runs

  UNDER 7.2 (54%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 7.5 (O -102 / U +102)

• MIN @ LAA(3-0)▼ Highlights & props

  9:38:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  MIN (57%)Toss-Up✓ WIN

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: MIN -102 / LAA +102 (7 books)

  Run Line

  LAA (85%)✗ LOSS

  Line: LAA +1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 8.0 (50%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.0 (O -100 / U -100)

• MIA @ SD(2-8)▼ Highlights & props

  9:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  SD (65%)🔥🔥🔥 Confident · 82% (42-9)✓ WIN

  The betting markets have a real, strong lean on this game (65% implied) — this pick sides with their favorite, our best-validated signal for this bet type.

  Vegas: MIA +182 / SD -182 (8 books)

  Run Line

  MIA (62%)✗ LOSS

  Line: SD -1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 7.8 (55%)✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 7.5 (O -100 / U -100)

• NYY @ AZ(9-2)▼ Highlights & props

  9:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  NYY (55%)Toss-Up✓ WIN

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: NYY +104 / AZ -104 (8 books)

  Run Line

  AZ (85%)✗ LOSS

  Line: AZ +1.5

  Total Runs

  UNDER 8.0 (51%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 7.5 (O -104 / U +104)

• SF @ LAD(2-8)▼ Highlights & props

  10:15:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  LAD (73%)🔥🔥🔥🔥 Confident · 82% (42-9)✓ WIN

  The betting markets have a real, strong lean on this game (73% implied) — this pick sides with their favorite, our best-validated signal for this bet type.

  Vegas: SF +269 / LAD -269 (8 books)

  Run Line

  SF (85%)✗ LOSS

  Line: LAD -1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 8.8 (63%)✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.0 (O -104 / U +104)