Picks
2026-09-17 · back to today
- MoneylineMIL (69%)Lean✗ LOSSThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: MIL -127 / PIT +127 (9 books)Run LineMIL (85%)✗ LOSSLine: PIT +1.5Total RunsOVER 8.6 (52%)✓ WINVegas: O/U 8.5 (O -109 / U +109)
- MoneylineLAD (66%)Lean✓ WINThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: LAD -149 / CIN +149 (9 books)Run LineLAD (56%)✓ WINLine: CIN +1.5Total RunsOVER 10.5 (66%)✓ WINVegas: O/U 9.5 (O -106 / U +106)
- MoneylineTB (70%)🔥 Confident · 82% (42-9)✓ WINThe betting markets have a real, strong lean on this game (70% implied) — this pick sides with their favorite, our best-validated signal for this bet type.Vegas: ATH +238 / TB -238 (9 books)Run LineTB (85%)✓ WINLine: TB -1.5Total RunsOVER 7.6 (52%)✓ WINVegas: O/U 7.5 (O -104 / U +104)
- MoneylineSD (68%)Lean✓ WINThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: SD -179 / COL +179 (9 books)Run LineSD (85%)✓ WINLine: COL +1.5Total RunsOVER 11.0 (58%)✓ WINVegas: O/U 10.5 (O -106 / U +106)
- MoneylineHOU (61%)Lean✓ WINThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: KC +138 / HOU -138 (8 books)Run LineKC (73%)✗ LOSSLine: HOU -1.5Total RunsUNDER 8.8 (54%)✓ WINVegas: O/U 9.0 (O +106 / U -106)
- MoneylinePHI (52%)Toss-Up✓ WINThe market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.Vegas: PHI +119 / NYM -119 (8 books)Run LinePHI (84%)✓ WINLine: NYM -1.5Total RunsUNDER 7.8 (61%)✓ WINVegas: O/U 8.3 (O -103 / U +103)
- MoneylineDET (58%)Toss-Up✗ LOSSThe market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.Vegas: DET +105 / CWS -105 (8 books)Run LineDET (85%)✗ LOSSLine: CWS -1.5Total RunsOVER 8.6 (52%)✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 8.5 (O +103 / U -103)
- MoneylineTEX (58%)Toss-Up✗ LOSSThe market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.Vegas: BOS -115 / TEX +115 (8 books)Run LineTEX (85%)✓ WINLine: TEX +1.5Total RunsOVER 8.3 (55%)✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 7.8 (O -103 / U +103)
- MoneylineLAA (50%)Toss-Up✓ WINThe market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.Vegas: MIN +104 / LAA -104 (8 books)Run LineLAA (85%)✓ WINLine: LAA +1.5Total RunsUNDER 7.0 (58%)✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 7.5 (O +114 / U -114)