Picks

2026-09-16 · back to today

• CWS @ CLE(3-6)▼ Highlights & props

  1:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  CLE (66%)Lean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: CWS +142 / CLE -142 (9 books)

  Run Line

  CLE (85%)✓ WIN

  Line: CLE -1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 7.9 (65%)✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 7.0 (O -100 / U -100)

• SF @ STL(6-5)▼ Highlights & props

  1:15:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  SF (57%)🐶🐶 Underdog Watch · 43% (22-29)✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: SF +145 / STL -145 (9 books)

  Run Line

  SF (85%)✓ WIN

  Line: STL -1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 9.0 (67%)✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.0 (O -104 / U +104)

• NYY @ MIN(4-5)▼ Highlights & props

  1:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  NYY (69%)Lean✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: NYY -141 / MIN +141 (9 books)

  Run Line

  NYY (85%)✗ LOSS

  Line: MIN +1.5

  Total Runs

  UNDER 7.9 (52%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.0 (O -100 / U -100)

• DET @ TOR(1-5)▼ Highlights & props

  3:07:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  DET (68%)Lean✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: DET +124 / TOR -124 (9 books)

  Run Line

  DET (85%)✗ LOSS

  Line: TOR -1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 9.6 (67%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.5 (O +104 / U -104)

• LAD @ CIN(2-6)▼ Highlights & props

  6:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  LAD (66%)Confident · 82% (42-9)✗ LOSS

  The betting markets have a real, strong lean on this game (66% implied) — this pick sides with their favorite, our best-validated signal for this bet type.

  Vegas: LAD -193 / CIN +193 (9 books)

  Run Line

  LAD (85%)✗ LOSS

  Line: CIN +1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 9.0 (58%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.5 (O +106 / U -106)

• ATH @ TB(3-4)▼ Highlights & props

  6:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  TB (68%)Lean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: ATH +162 / TB -162 (9 books)

  Run Line

  TB (65%)✗ LOSS

  Line: TB -1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 8.5 (58%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.0 (O +104 / U -104)

• MIL @ PIT(5-4)▼ Highlights & props

  6:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  MIL (58%)Toss-Up✓ WIN

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: MIL -115 / PIT +115 (9 books)

  Run Line

  MIL (85%)✗ LOSS

  Line: PIT +1.5

  Total Runs

  UNDER 7.4 (52%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 7.5 (O +106 / U -106)

• PHI @ WSH(3-0)▼ Highlights & props

  6:45:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  PHI (50%)Lean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: PHI -175 / WSH +175 (9 books)

  Run Line

  WSH (85%)✗ LOSS

  Line: WSH +1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 9.2 (53%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 9.0 (O +104 / U -104)

• BAL @ NYM(7-1)▼ Highlights & props

  7:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  NYM (58%)Toss-Up✗ LOSS

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: BAL +108 / NYM -108 (9 books)

  Run Line

  BAL (58%)✓ WIN

  Line: NYM -1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 9.4 (56%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 9.0 (O -101 / U +101)

• ATL @ CHC(4-8)▼ Highlights & props

  7:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  CHC (57%)Lean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: ATL +145 / CHC -145 (9 books)

  Run Line

  ATL (85%)✗ LOSS

  Line: CHC -1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 8.3 (63%)✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 7.5 (O +104 / U -104)

• BOS @ TEX(3-7)▼ Highlights & props

  8:05:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  BOS (57%)Toss-Up✗ LOSS

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: BOS -103 / TEX +103 (9 books)

  Run Line

  TEX (85%)✓ WIN

  Line: TEX +1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 8.2 (54%)✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.0 (O +101 / U -101)

• KC @ HOU(5-2)▼ Highlights & props

  8:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  HOU (59%)Lean✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: KC +152 / HOU -152 (9 books)

  Run Line

  KC (85%)✓ WIN

  Line: HOU -1.5

  Total Runs

  UNDER 8.9 (51%)✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 9.0 (O +104 / U -104)

• SD @ COL(9-3)▼ Highlights & props

  8:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  COL (65%)Lean✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: SD -155 / COL +155 (9 books)

  Run Line

  COL (81%)✗ LOSS

  Line: COL +1.5

  Total Runs

  UNDER 10.8 (52%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 11.0 (O +103 / U -103)

• SEA @ LAA(7-2)▼ Highlights & props

  9:38:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  LAA (50%)Lean✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: SEA -119 / LAA +119 (9 books)

  Run Line

  LAA (85%)✗ LOSS

  Line: LAA +1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 7.8 (55%)✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.0 (O -100 / U -100)

• MIA @ AZ(4-3)▼ Highlights & props

  9:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  AZ (59%)Lean✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: MIA +129 / AZ -129 (9 books)

  Run Line

  MIA (85%)✓ WIN

  Line: AZ -1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 9.6 (59%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 9.0 (O +102 / U -102)