Picks

2026-09-12 · back to today

• COL @ DET(7-11)▼ Highlights & props

  1:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  DET (69%)Lean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: COL +149 / DET -149 (9 books)

  Run Line

  COL (50%)✗ LOSS

  Line: DET -1.5

  Total Runs

  UNDER 8.5 (51%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.5 (O +107 / U -107)

• NYM @ NYY(12-2)▼ Highlights & props

  1:35:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  NYY (57%)Lean✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: NYM +148 / NYY -148 (9 books)

  Run Line

  NYM (74%)✓ WIN

  Line: NYY -1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 10.0 (83%)✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.0 (O -104 / U +104)

• PIT @ CHC(3-4)▼ Highlights & props

  2:20:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  CHC (57%)Toss-Up✓ WIN

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: PIT +114 / CHC -114 (9 books)

  Run Line

  CHC (85%)✗ LOSS

  Line: CHC -1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 10.5 (66%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 9.5 (O -102 / U +102)

• BAL @ TOR(3-7)▼ Highlights & props

  3:07:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  TOR (55%)Toss-Up✓ WIN

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: BAL +122 / TOR -122 (9 books)

  Run Line

  BAL (64%)✗ LOSS

  Line: TOR -1.5

  Total Runs

  UNDER 8.4 (51%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.5 (O +104 / U -104)

• SD @ SF(7-6)▼ Highlights & props

  4:05:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  SD (66%)Lean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: SD -169 / SF +169 (9 books)

  Run Line

  SF (72%)✓ WIN

  Line: SF +1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 7.8 (55%)✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 7.5 (O -106 / U +106)

• LAA @ WSH(5-6)▼ Highlights & props

  4:05:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  LAA (58%)Toss-Up✗ LOSS

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: LAA +121 / WSH -121 (9 books)

  Run Line

  LAA (85%)✓ WIN

  Line: WSH -1.5

  Total Runs

  UNDER 7.9 (51%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.5 (O -104 / U +104)

• LAD @ MIA(3-4)▼ Highlights & props

  4:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  LAD (68%)Lean✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: LAD -149 / MIA +149 (9 books)

  Run Line

  LAD (85%)✗ LOSS

  Line: MIA +1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 8.8 (62%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.0 (O +104 / U -104)

• CLE @ MIN(3-4)▼ Highlights & props

  4:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  CLE (58%)Toss-Up✗ LOSS

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: CLE -100 / MIN -100 (9 books)

  Run Line

  CLE (85%)✗ LOSS

  Line: MIN +1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 8.9 (56%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.5 (O +105 / U -105)

• KC @ BOS(1-5)▼ Highlights & props

  4:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  BOS (66%)🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 Confident · 82% (42-9)✓ WIN

  The betting markets have a real, strong lean on this game (66% implied) — this pick sides with their favorite, our best-validated signal for this bet type.

  Vegas: KC +197 / BOS -197 (9 books)

  Run Line

  KC (85%)✗ LOSS

  Line: BOS -1.5

  Total Runs

  UNDER 8.4 (51%)✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.5 (O -104 / U +104)

• HOU @ TB(2-3)▼ Highlights & props

  6:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  HOU (50%)Underdog Watch · 43% (22-29)✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: HOU +133 / TB -133 (9 books)

  Run Line

  HOU (52%)✓ WIN

  Line: TB -1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 7.5 (50%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 7.5 (O -104 / U +104)

• CIN @ MIL(9-13)▼ Highlights & props

  7:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  MIL (68%)Lean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: CIN +170 / MIL -170 (9 books)

  Run Line

  MIL (85%)✓ WIN

  Line: MIL -1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 10.4 (80%)✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.5 (O -100 / U -100)

• CWS @ STL(6-5)▼ Highlights & props

  7:15:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  STL (58%)Toss-Up✗ LOSS

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: CWS -102 / STL +102 (9 books)

  Run Line

  STL (85%)✓ WIN

  Line: STL +1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 8.6 (52%)✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.5 (O +104 / U -104)

• PHI @ ATL(2-12)▼ Highlights & props

  7:15:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  ATL (58%)Lean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: PHI +126 / ATL -126 (9 books)

  Run Line

  PHI (85%)✗ LOSS

  Line: ATL -1.5

  Total Runs

  UNDER 7.8 (61%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.5 (O +106 / U -106)

• TEX @ AZ(6-2)▼ Highlights & props

  8:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  AZ (57%)Toss-Up✗ LOSS

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: TEX +122 / AZ -122 (9 books)

  Run Line

  AZ (78%)✗ LOSS

  Line: AZ -1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 8.3 (55%)PUSH

  Vegas: O/U 8.0 (O -104 / U +104)

• SEA @ ATH(19-1)▼ Highlights & props

  9:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  SEA (54%)Lean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: SEA -139 / ATH +139 (9 books)

  Run Line

  SEA (64%)✓ WIN

  Line: ATH +1.5

  Total Runs

  UNDER 9.0 (59%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 9.5 (O +103 / U -103)