Picks
2026-09-11 · back to today
- MoneylinePIT (69%)Lean✗ LOSSThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: PIT +179 / CHC -179 (9 books)Run LinePIT (85%)✗ LOSSLine: CHC -1.5Total RunsOVER 8.1 (51%)✓ WINVegas: O/U 8.0 (O -106 / U +106)
- MoneylineDET (68%)Lean✓ WINThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: COL +166 / DET -166 (9 books)Run LineCOL (50%)✗ LOSSLine: DET -1.5Total RunsUNDER 7.9 (51%)PUSHVegas: O/U 8.0 (O +103 / U -103)
- MoneylineLAA (58%)Lean✗ LOSSThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: LAA +140 / WSH -140 (9 books)Run LineLAA (77%)✓ WINLine: WSH -1.5Total RunsUNDER 7.4 (51%)✓ WINVegas: O/U 7.5 (O -104 / U +104)
- MoneylineNYM (53%)Underdog Watch · 43% (22-29)✗ LOSSThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: NYM +118 / NYY -118 (9 books)Run LineNYM (85%)✗ LOSSLine: NYY -1.5Total RunsOVER 9.2 (70%)✓ WINVegas: O/U 8.0 (O -104 / U +104)
- MoneylineTOR (62%)Lean✗ LOSSThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: BAL +125 / TOR -125 (9 books)Run LineBAL (69%)✓ WINLine: TOR -1.5Total RunsOVER 8.1 (52%)✓ WINVegas: O/U 8.0 (O -100 / U -100)
- MoneylineBOS (60%)Lean✗ LOSSThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: KC +180 / BOS -180 (9 books)Run LineKC (53%)✓ WINLine: BOS -1.5Total RunsOVER 8.8 (55%)✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 8.5 (O +105 / U -105)
- MoneylineLAD (66%)🔥🔥🔥🔥 Confident · 82% (42-9)✓ WINThe betting markets have a real, strong lean on this game (66% implied) — this pick sides with their favorite, our best-validated signal for this bet type.Vegas: LAD -186 / MIA +186 (9 books)Run LineLAD (51%)✓ WINLine: MIA +1.5Total RunsOVER 9.0 (74%)✓ WINVegas: O/U 7.5 (O +108 / U -108)
- MoneylineTB (69%)Lean✓ WINThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: HOU +156 / TB -156 (9 books)Run LineHOU (56%)✗ LOSSLine: TB -1.5Total RunsUNDER 7.3 (53%)✓ WINVegas: O/U 7.5 (O -108 / U +108)
- MoneylinePHI (53%)Lean✗ LOSSThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: PHI +167 / ATL -167 (9 books)Run LinePHI (85%)✓ WINLine: ATL -1.5Total RunsUNDER 6.6 (57%)✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 7.0 (O -107 / U +107)
- MoneylineMIL (69%)Lean✓ WINThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: CIN +181 / MIL -181 (9 books)Run LineMIL (79%)✓ WINLine: MIL -1.5Total RunsOVER 8.9 (65%)✓ WINVegas: O/U 8.0 (O -104 / U +104)
- MoneylineCLE (56%)Toss-Up✓ WINThe market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.Vegas: CLE -109 / MIN +109 (9 books)Run LineCLE (51%)✓ WINLine: MIN +1.5Total RunsOVER 7.9 (57%)✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 7.5 (O -104 / U +104)
- MoneylineSTL (58%)Toss-Up✓ WINThe market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.Vegas: CWS +103 / STL -103 (9 books)Run LineSTL (85%)✓ WINLine: STL +1.5Total RunsOVER 8.1 (52%)✓ WINVegas: O/U 7.5 (O -106 / U +106)
- MoneylineATH (57%)🐶 Underdog Watch · 43% (22-29)✓ WINThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: SEA -148 / ATH +148 (9 books)Run LineATH (85%)✓ WINLine: ATH +1.5Total RunsUNDER 9.8 (54%)✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 10.5 (O +104 / U -104)
- MoneylineTEX (55%)Toss-Up✗ LOSSThe market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.Vegas: TEX +106 / AZ -106 (9 books)Run LineAZ (64%)✓ WINLine: AZ +1.5Total RunsUNDER 8.8 (54%)✗ LOSSVegas: O/U 8.5 (O -110 / U +110)
- MoneylineSF (66%)Underdog Watch · 43% (22-29)✗ LOSSThe model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.Vegas: SD -145 / SF +145 (9 books)Run LineSF (85%)✗ LOSSLine: SF +1.5Total RunsOVER 8.1 (52%)✓ WINVegas: O/U 7.5 (O -104 / U +104)