Picks

2026-09-10 · back to today

• TB @ ATL(1-3)▼ Highlights & props

  12:15:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  TB (58%)Toss-Up✗ LOSS

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: TB +118 / ATL -118 (9 books)

  Run Line

  TB (85%)✗ LOSS

  Line: ATL -1.5

  Total Runs

  UNDER 8.2 (55%)✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.5 (O +107 / U -107)

• HOU @ PHI(2-1)▼ Highlights & props

  1:05:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  HOU (55%)Lean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: HOU +166 / PHI -166 (9 books)

  Run Line

  HOU (85%)✓ WIN

  Line: PHI -1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 9.8 (71%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.5 (O -101 / U +101)

• TEX @ SEA(3-4)▼ Highlights & props

  4:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  TEX (57%)Toss-Up✗ LOSS

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: TEX +107 / SEA -107 (9 books)

  Run Line

  TEX (85%)✓ WIN

  Line: SEA -1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 7.3 (63%)✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 7.0 (O +104 / U -104)

• COL @ NYY(3-10)▼ Highlights & props

  7:05:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  NYY (72%)🔥🔥🔥 Confident · 82% (42-9)✓ WIN

  The betting markets have a real, strong lean on this game (72% implied) — this pick sides with their favorite, our best-validated signal for this bet type.

  Vegas: COL +252 / NYY -252 (9 books)

  Run Line

  NYY (85%)✓ WIN

  Line: NYY -1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 8.6 (52%)✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.5 (O +106 / U -106)

• PIT @ CWS(2-0)▼ Highlights & props

  7:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  PIT (58%)Toss-Up✓ WIN

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: PIT -100 / CWS -100 (9 books)

  Run Line

  CWS (85%)✗ LOSS

  Line: CWS +1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 7.7 (53%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 7.5 (O -107 / U +107)