Picks

2026-09-09 · back to today

• MIN @ DET(2-7)▼ Highlights & props

  1:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  MIN (57%)Toss-Up✗ LOSS

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: MIN +114 / DET -114 (9 books)

  Run Line

  MIN (85%)✗ LOSS

  Line: DET -1.5

  Total Runs

  UNDER 8.3 (54%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.5 (O -101 / U +101)

• TOR @ ATH(0-2)▼ Highlights & props

  3:05:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  ATH (67%)Lean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: TOR -156 / ATH +156 (9 books)

  Run Line

  TOR (61%)✗ LOSS

  Line: ATH +1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 9.8 (55%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 9.5 (O +107 / U -107)

• STL @ SF(6-7)▼ Highlights & props

  3:45:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  STL (53%)Toss-Up✗ LOSS

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: STL -108 / SF +108 (9 books)

  Run Line

  SF (59%)✓ WIN

  Line: SF +1.5

  Total Runs

  UNDER 8.1 (56%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.5 (O -100 / U -100)

• TEX @ SEA(2-3)▼ Highlights & props

  4:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  TEX (64%)Underdog Watch · 43% (22-29)✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: TEX +137 / SEA -137 (9 books)

  Run Line

  TEX (85%)✓ WIN

  Line: SEA -1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 9.2 (79%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.0 (O -101 / U +101)

• WSH @ SD(2-9)▼ Highlights & props

  4:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  SD (55%)Lean✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: WSH +174 / SD -174 (9 books)

  Run Line

  WSH (61%)✗ LOSS

  Line: SD -1.5

  Total Runs

  UNDER 7.6 (56%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.5 (O -104 / U +104)

• CLE @ BAL(5-9)▼ Highlights & props

  6:35:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  CLE (55%)Toss-Up✗ LOSS

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: CLE -107 / BAL +107 (9 books)

  Run Line

  BAL (69%)✓ WIN

  Line: BAL +1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 9.1 (60%)✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.5 (O -105 / U +105)

• NYM @ MIA(15-14)▼ Highlights & props

  6:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  NYM (58%)Toss-Up✓ WIN

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: NYM +114 / MIA -114 (9 books)

  Run Line

  MIA (58%)✗ LOSS

  Line: MIA -1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 9.9 (74%)✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 8.5 (O -109 / U +109)

• HOU @ PHI(7-11)▼ Highlights & props

  6:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  HOU (64%)Lean✗ LOSS

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: HOU +138 / PHI -138 (9 books)

  Run Line

  HOU (85%)✗ LOSS

  Line: PHI -1.5

  Total Runs

  UNDER 7.9 (52%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.0 (O -100 / U -100)

• LAA @ BOS(6-4)▼ Highlights & props

  6:45:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  BOS (66%)Confident · 82% (42-9)✗ LOSS

  The betting markets have a real, strong lean on this game (66% implied) — this pick sides with their favorite, our best-validated signal for this bet type.

  Vegas: LAA +191 / BOS -191 (9 books)

  Run Line

  LAA (85%)✓ WIN

  Line: BOS -1.5

  Total Runs

  UNDER 8.8 (52%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 9.0 (O -109 / U +109)

• COL @ NYY(1-6)▼ Highlights & props

  7:05:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  NYY (69%)🔥 Confident · 82% (42-9)✓ WIN

  The betting markets have a real, strong lean on this game (69% implied) — this pick sides with their favorite, our best-validated signal for this bet type.

  Vegas: COL +216 / NYY -216 (9 books)

  Run Line

  NYY (61%)✓ WIN

  Line: NYY -1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 9.3 (55%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 9.0 (O -104 / U +104)

• TB @ ATL(7-2)▼ Highlights & props

  7:15:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  TB (58%)Toss-Up✓ WIN

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: TB +114 / ATL -114 (9 books)

  Run Line

  TB (85%)✓ WIN

  Line: ATL -1.5

  Total Runs

  UNDER 8.3 (53%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.0 (O -102 / U +102)

• AZ @ KC(2-5)▼ Highlights & props

  7:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  KC (55%)Toss-Up✓ WIN

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: AZ -109 / KC +109 (9 books)

  Run Line

  KC (85%)✓ WIN

  Line: KC +1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 9.3 (63%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.5 (O -109 / U +109)

• CHC @ MIL(6-8)▼ Highlights & props

  7:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  MIL (56%)Toss-Up✓ WIN

  The market itself has no real lean on this game — this lean is the model's own independent read, not a high-conviction pick.

  Vegas: CHC +118 / MIL -118 (9 books)

  Run Line

  MIL (56%)✓ WIN

  Line: MIL -1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 7.6 (51%)✓ WIN

  Vegas: O/U 7.5 (O -100 / U -100)

• PIT @ CWS(4-2)▼ Highlights & props

  7:40:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  PIT (66%)🐶 Underdog Watch · 43% (22-29)✓ WIN

  The model's own independent read (form, pitching, bullpen, platoon, technicals) on this game — the market itself isn't confident enough here to defer to.

  Vegas: PIT +122 / CWS -122 (9 books)

  Run Line

  PIT (85%)✓ WIN

  Line: CWS -1.5

  Total Runs

  OVER 8.7 (54%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.5 (O -109 / U +109)

• CIN @ LAD(1-14)▼ Highlights & props

  10:10:00 PM ET
  Moneyline

  LAD (71%)🔥🔥 Confident · 82% (42-9)✓ WIN

  The betting markets have a real, strong lean on this game (71% implied) — this pick sides with their favorite, our best-validated signal for this bet type.

  Vegas: CIN +248 / LAD -248 (9 books)

  Run Line

  LAD (77%)✓ WIN

  Line: LAD -1.5

  Total Runs

  UNDER 8.3 (54%)✗ LOSS

  Vegas: O/U 8.0 (O -104 / U +104)